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Phillist (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)
The problem becomes much more obvious when you consider an extreme variant. Suppose there are a million doors; 1 car, the rest goats. Same rules, you pick 1, then the host opens up ALL doors except the one you picked and one other. Obviously your original guess is very likely to be wrong, and by swapping to the only remaining door, you're obviously very likely to win. The counter-intution mostly comes in because in the case of 3 doors, "all other doors" = just 1 door, so it's hard to spot.
AprendeConHubby (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)
epic
SPARTAN021 (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)
Well, I just concluded that you are nitpicking simply because of the fact that you dismissed a logical explanation of why he showed it as 66.6% and not 66.7%. That´s sorta like saying "Nay, ´tis not well enough for my person. Take theine explanation away!"And that´s nitpicking!
GFl1ve (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)
How would you draw that conclusion? I'm nitpicking which would suggest I like things to be correct which would suggest very rational.I already knew of this problem, when it was first proposed to me I said swap.
SPARTAN021 (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)
Someone is in a nitpicking mood... Let me guess.. You didn´t swap?
leeds0united (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)
the presenter souns like harry enfield
mewmewlova (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)
should swap!! u have a higher chance!!in the beggining the chances are equally divided into 3 parts, however after the gameshow host has shown u 1 door, the chances ar now dinded into 2 parts, not 3.
bob1012112 (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)
god yes we know the .3 is recurring get the fuck over it jesus christ
bob1012112 (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)
god get over it
GFl1ve (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)
The video said 66%, without the line -which is wrong.6.66...=67 When you round it off. |
